Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.030773 0.036490 0.042442 0.049063 0.056182 0.063574 0.071797
2026-01-04 0.020802 0.028629 0.037349 0.047592 0.059129 0.071577 0.085890
2026-01-11 0.015688 0.024727 0.035397 0.048472 0.063688 0.080531 0.100306
2026-01-18 0.011871 0.021511 0.033544 0.048850 0.067154 0.087828 0.112490
2026-01-25 0.008954 0.018831 0.031873 0.049044 0.070071 0.094224 0.123411
2026-02-01 0.006506 0.016273 0.029979 0.048655 0.072042 0.099324 0.132670
2026-02-08 0.003980 0.012938 0.026612 0.046057 0.071057 0.100732 0.137461
2026-02-15 0.002601 0.011053 0.024987 0.045508 0.072433 0.104812 0.145259
2026-02-22 0.001755 0.009856 0.024199 0.045952 0.074967 0.110213 0.154552
2026-03-01 0.001143 0.008878 0.023608 0.046575 0.077658 0.115756 0.163974
2026-03-08 0.000790 0.008358 0.023675 0.048066 0.081438 0.122606 0.174938
2026-03-15 0.000453 0.007613 0.023269 0.048821 0.084214 0.128190 0.184363
2026-03-22 0.000416 0.008021 0.024986 0.052840 0.091536 0.139697 0.201285
2026-03-29 0.000073 0.006405 0.022935 0.051261 0.091415 0.141970 0.207109
2026-04-05 0.000005 0.005776 0.022593 0.052167 0.094582 0.148331 0.217877
2026-04-12 NaN 0.005057 0.021956 0.052558 0.097011 0.153737 0.227463
2026-04-19 NaN 0.004361 0.021240 0.052760 0.099138 0.158731 0.236523
2026-04-26 NaN 0.003590 0.020194 0.052355 0.100375 0.162554 0.244116
2026-05-03 NaN 0.002419 0.017843 0.049656 0.098291 0.162033 0.246276
2026-05-10 NaN 0.001857 0.016832 0.049084 0.099148 0.165262 0.253043
2026-05-17 NaN 0.001548 0.016449 0.049547 0.101459 0.170364 0.262132
2026-05-24 NaN 0.001303 0.016188 0.050194 0.104020 0.175783 0.271610
2026-05-31 NaN 0.001214 0.016438 0.051744 0.107891 0.182917 0.283238